Do Golden Globe wins translate into Oscars?

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"The Favourite" winner Olivia Colman poses with the trophy during the 76th annual Golden Globe Awards at the Beverly Hilton hotel in Beverly Hills, California. — AFP

LOS ANGELES — With the Golden Globes done and dusted, Hollywood moves swiftly along to the crown-jewel of its award season: the Oscars.

Members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences began voting Monday and their nominations will be revealed in two weeks' time.

But are the Globes really a good predictor of the Oscars, as common wisdom holds? Not so much, say experts.

To be sure, there is expected to be some overlap. Many of Sunday night's winners and even some of the nominees could feature at the Oscars in late February, including the likes of "Bohemian Rhapsody," "Green Book," "Roma," "A Star Is Born," "Vice," "Black Panther," and "BlacKkKlansman."

"It's reasonable to bet that plenty of Oscar voters still have a stack of screeners sitting on the coffee table as you read this," film critic Alissa Wilkinson told Vox.

"So while they've probably watched the favorites by now, a Golden Globes win for an underdog might push a voter to give the film a look before submitting their ballot," she concluded.

Overall, though, the numbers are emphatic: the Golden Globes aren't a reliable predictor for the Oscars, cinema's most coveted prize.

The numbers are a bit better at picking actors and actresses, though not stunningly. A major reason is that, while the Golden Globes gives out two best picture awards — one for drama and the other for musical or comedy -- the Oscar's has just one. — AFP


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